Tobias Gerstenberg
Education
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Assistant Professor in Psychology, 2018-present
Stanford University
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Postdoc, 2013-2018
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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PhD in Cognitive Science, 2013
University College London
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MSc in Cognitive Science, 2008
University College London
I’m the PI of the Causality in Cognition Lab (CiCL). You can see me in action here.
Research interests
Here are some of the things I’m interested in:
- computational models of cognition
- causal inference
- counterfactual reasoning
- mental simulation
- eye-tracking
You can find out more about what we do in the CiCL, what we value, and how to join us here. You can also take a look at my research statement.
Contact
Email: gerstenberg@stanford.edu
Office: Room 302, Building 420
Teaching
- Winter 2021/22: Statistical Methods for Behavioral and Social Sciences (PSYCH 252)
- Fall, Winter, and Spring 2021/22: Advanced Research (PSYCH 198)
- Winter 2020/21: Statistical Methods for Behavioral and Social Sciences (PSYCH 252)
- Fall 2020/21: Experimental Methods (PSYCH 251)
- Fall 2020/21: What makes a good explanation? Psychological and philosophical perspectives (PSYCH 293)
- Spring 2019/20: Research Methods in Cognition and Development (PSYCH 187)
- Winter 2019/20: Statistical Methods for Behavioral and Social Sciences (PSYCH 252)
- Winter 2018/19: Statistical Methods for Behavioral and Social Sciences (PSYCH 252)
- Spring 2018/19: Causal Cognition (PSYCH 291)
Publications
S. A. Wu, T. Gerstenberg
(2023).
If not me, then who? Responsibility and replacement.
PsyArXiv.
T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado, R. Zultan
(2023).
Making a difference: Criticality in groups.
PsyArXiv.
L. Zhou, K. A. Smith, J. B. Tenenbaum, T. Gerstenberg
(2023).
Mental Jenga: A counterfactual simulation model of causal judgments about physical support.
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General.
T. Gong, T. Gerstenberg, R. Mayrhofer, N. R Bramley
(2023).
Active causal structure learning in continuous time.
Cognitive Psychology.
H. Vasconcelos, M. Jörke, M. Grunde-McLaughlin, T. Gerstenberg, M. Bernstein, R. Krishna
(2022).
Explanations can reduce overreliance on AI systems during decision-making.
Proceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction.
T. Gerstenberg
(2022).
What would have happened? Counterfactuals, hypotheticals, and causal judgments.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.
A. Srivastava, …, A. Nie, …, T. Gerstenberg, et al.
(2022).
Beyond the Imitation Game: Quantifying and extrapolating the capabilities of language models.
arXiv.
J. Outa, X. Jia Zhou, H. Gweon, T. Gerstenberg
(2022).
Stop, children what's that sound? Multi-modal inference through mental simulation.
Cognitive Science Proceedings.
S. Wu, S. Sridhar, T. Gerstenberg
(2022).
That was close! A counterfactual simulation model of causal judgments about decisions.
Cognitive Science Proceedings.
A. Beller, Y. Xu, S. Linderman, T. Gerstenberg
(2022).
Looking into the past: Eye-tracking mental simulation in physical inference.
Cognitive Science Proceedings.
K. A. Smith, J. B. Hamrick, A. N. Sanborn, P. W. Battaglia, T. Gerstenberg, T. D. Ullman, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2022).
Probabilistic models of physical reasoning.
Reverse engineering the mind: Probabilistic models of cognition.
K. Vodrahalli, T. Gerstenberg, J. Zou
(2022).
Uncalibrated Models Can Improve Human-AI Collaboration.
NeurIPS (oral presentation).
L. Kirfel, T. F. Icard, T. Gerstenberg
(2022).
Inference from explanation.
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General.
F. A Sosa, T. D Ullman, J. B Tenenbaum, S. J Gershman, T. Gerstenberg
(2021).
Moral dynamics: Grounding moral judgment in intuitive physics and intuitive psychology.
Cognition.
T. Gerstenberg, S. Stephan
(2021).
A counterfactual simulation model of causation by omission.
Cognition.
A. F. Langenhoff, A. Wiegmann, J. Y. Halpern, J. B. Tenenbaum, T. Gerstenberg
(2021).
Predicting responsibility judgments from dispositional inferences and causal attributions.
Cognitive Psychology.
T. Gerstenberg, N. D. Goodman, D. A. Lagnado, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2021).
A counterfactual simulation model of causal judgments for physical events.
Psychological Review.
Z. J. Davis, K. R. Allen, T. Gerstenberg
(2021).
Who went fishing? Inferences from social evaluations.
Proceedings of the 43rd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
J. F. Kominsky, T. Gerstenberg, M. Pelz, M. Sheskin, H. Singmann, L. Schulz, F. Keil
(2021).
The trajectory of counterfactual simulation in development.
Developmental Psychology.
K. Vodrahalli, T. Gerstenberg, J. Zou
(2021).
Do humans trust advice more if it comes from AI? An analysis of Human-AI interactions.
arXiv.
T. Gerstenberg, T. F. Icard
(2020).
Expectations affect physical causation judgments.
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General.
A. Beller, E. Bennett, T. Gerstenberg
(2020).
The language of causation.
Proceedings of the 42nd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
S. Bridgers, C. Yang, T. Gerstenberg, H. Gweon
(2020).
Whom will Granny thank? Thinking about what could have been informs children's inferences about relative helpfulness.
Proceedings of the 42nd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
G. Grinfeld, D. A. Lagnado, T. Gerstenberg, J. F. Woodward, M. Usher
(2020).
Causal responsibility and robust causation.
Frontiers in Psychology.
L. Niemi, J. Hartshorne, T. Gerstenberg, M. Stanley, L. Young
(2020).
Moral values pervade implicit and explicit causal attribution: Evidence from basic language processing.
Cognitive Science.
I. Yildirim, B. Saeed, G. Bennett-Pierre, T. Gerstenberg, J. B. Tenenbaum, H. Gweon
(2019).
Explaining intuitive difficulty judgments by modeling physical effort and risk.
Proceedings of the 41st Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
N. R. Bramley, T. Gerstenberg, R. Mayrhofer, D. A. Lagnado
(2019).
Intervening in time.
Time and Causality Across the Sciences.
A. Morris, J. Phillips, T. Gerstenberg, F. Cushman
(2019).
Quantitative causal selection patterns in token causation.
PLoS ONE.
J. F. Kominsky, T. Gerstenberg, M. Pelz, H. Singmann, M. Sheskin, F. Keil
(2019).
The trajectory of counterfactual simulation in development.
Proceedings of the 41st Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
N. R. Bramley, T. Gerstenberg, R. Mayrhofer, D. A. Lagnado
(2018).
Time in causal structure learning.
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition.
N. R. Bramley, T. Gerstenberg, J. B. Tenenbaum, T. M. Gureckis
(2018).
Intuitive experimentation in the physical world.
Cognitive Psychology.
T. Gerstenberg, T. D. Ullman, J. Nagel, M. Kleiman-Weiner, D. A. Lagnado, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2018).
Lucky or clever? From expectations to responsibility judgments.
Cognition.
K. Koskuba, T. Gerstenberg, H. Gordon, D. A. Lagnado, A. Schlottmann
(2018).
What's fair? How children assign reward to members of teams with differing causal structures.
Cognition.
A. Morris, J. Phillips, T. Icard, J. Knobe, T. Gerstenberg, F. Cushman
(2018).
Judgments of actual causation approximate the effectiveness of interventions.
PsyArXiv.
M. A Gates, T. L Veuthey, M. Henry Tessler, K. A Smith, T. Gerstenberg, L. Bayet, J. B Tenenbaum
(2018).
Tiptoeing around it: Inference from absence in potentially offensive speech.
Proceedings of the 40th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, M. H. Siegel, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2018).
What happened? Reconstructing the past from vision and sound.
Proceedings of the 40th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, M. Peterson, N. D. Goodman, D. A. Lagnado, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2017).
Eye-tracking causality.
Psychological Science.
Preprint PDF Link Github OSF Press: MIT News Press: Seeker Press: MedicalResearch.com
N. R. Bramley, R. Mayrhofer, T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado
(2017).
Causal learning from interventions and dynamics in continuous time.
Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
D. A. Lagnado, T. Gerstenberg
(2017).
Causation in legal and moral reasoning.
Oxford Handbook of Causal Reasoning.
T. Gerstenberg, L. Zhou, K. A. Smith, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2017).
Faulty towers: A hypothetical simulation model of physical support.
Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2017).
Intuitive Theories.
Oxford Handbook of Causal Reasoning.
S. Stephan, P. Willemsen, T. Gerstenberg
(2017).
Marbles in inaction: Counterfactual simulation and causation by omission.
Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
I. Yildirim, T. Gerstenberg, B. Saeed, M. Toussant, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2017).
Physical problem solving: Joint planning with symbolic, geometric, and dynamic constraints.
Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
L. Niemi, J. Hartshorne, T. Gerstenberg, L. Young
(2016).
Implicit measurement of motivated causal attribution.
Proceedings of the 38th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
N. R. Bramley, T. Gerstenberg, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2016).
Natural science: Active learning in dynamic physical microworlds.
Proceedings of the 38th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
S. J. Gershman , T. Gerstenberg, C. L. Baker, F. Cushman
(2016).
Plans, habits, and theory of mind.
PLoS ONE.
T. Gerstenberg, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2016).
Understanding ``almost'': Empirical and computational studies of near misses.
Proceedings of the 38th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
D. A. Lagnado, T. Gerstenberg
(2015).
A difference-making framework for intuitive judgments of responsibility.
Oxford Studies in Agency and Responsibility.
M. D. Alicke, D. R. Mandel, D. Hilton, T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado
(2015).
Causal conceptions in social explanation and moral evaluation: A historical tour.
Perspectives on Psychological Science.
J. F. Kominsky, J. Phillips, T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado, J. Knobe
(2015).
Causal superseding.
Cognition.
N. D. Goodman, J. B. Tenenbaum, T. Gerstenberg
(2015).
Concepts in a probabilistic language of thought.
The Conceptual Mind: New Directions in the Study of Concepts.
K. Allen, J. Jara-Ettinger, T. Gerstenberg, M. Kleiman-Weiner, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2015).
Go fishing! Responsibility judgments when cooperation breaks down.
Proceedings of the 37th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, N. D. Goodman, D. A. Lagnado, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2015).
How, whether, why: Causal judgments as counterfactual contrasts.
Proceedings of the 37th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
M. Kleiman-Weiner, T. Gerstenberg, S. Levine, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2015).
Inference of intention and permissibility in moral decision making.
Proceedings of the 37th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, J. Y. Halpern, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2015).
Responsibility judgments in voting scenarios.
Proceedings of the 37th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado
(2014).
Attributing responsibility: Actual and counterfactual worlds.
Oxford Studies in Experimental Philosophy.
J. F. Kominsky, J. Phillips, J. Knobe, T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado
(2014).
Causal supersession.
Proceedings of the 36th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, N. D. Goodman, D. A. Lagnado, J. B Tenenbaum
(2014).
From counterfactual simulation to causal judgment.
Proceedings of the 36th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
N. R. Bramley, T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado
(2014).
The order of things: Inferring causal structure from temporal patterns.
Proceedings of the 36th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, T. D. Ullman, M. Kleiman-Weiner, D. A. Lagnado, J. B Tenenbaum
(2014).
Wins above replacement: Responsibility attributions as counterfactual replacements.
Proceedings of the 36th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, C. Bechlivanidis, D. A. Lagnado
(2013).
Back on track: Backtracking in counterfactual reasoning.
Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
D. A. Lagnado, T. Gerstenberg, R. Zultan
(2013).
Causal responsibility and counterfactuals.
Cognitive Science.
T. Gerstenberg
(2013).
Making a difference: Responsibility, causality, and counterfactuals.
Unpublished PhD thesis.
R. Zultan, T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado
(2012).
Finding fault: Counterfactuals and causality in group attributions.
Cognition.
T. Gerstenberg, N. D. Goodman, D. A. Lagnado, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2012).
Noisy Newtons: Unifying process and dependency accounts of causal attribution.
Proceedings of the 34th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, N. D. Goodman
(2012).
Ping Pong in Church: Productive use of concepts in human probabilistic inference.
Proceedings of the 34th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado
(2012).
When contributions make a difference: Explaining order effects in responsibility attributions.
Psychonomic Bulletin & Review.
J. McCoy* , T. D. Ullman* , A. Stuhlmüller, T. Gerstenberg, J. B. Tenenbaum
(2012).
Why blame Bob? Probabilistic generative models, counterfactual reasoning, and blame attribution.
Proceedings of the 34th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
S. Schächtele, T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado
(2011).
Beyond outcomes: The influence of intentions and deception.
Proceedings of the 33rd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, A. Ejova, D. A. Lagnado
(2011).
Blame the skilled.
Proceedings of the 33rd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado, M. Speekenbrink, C. Cheung
(2011).
Rational order effects in responsibility attributions.
Proceedings of the 33rd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
B. Meder, T. Gerstenberg, Y. Hagmayer, M. R. Waldmann
(2010).
Observing and Intervening: Rational and Heuristic Models of Causal Decision Making.
Open Psychology Journal.
T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado
(2010).
Spreading the blame: The allocation of responsibility amongst multiple agents.
Cognition.
T. Gerstenberg, D. A. Lagnado, Y. Kareev
(2010).
The dice are cast: The role of intended versus actual contributions in responsibility attribution.
Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society.
T. Gerstenberg
(2009).
The allocation of responsibility amongst multiple causes.
Unpublished MSc thesis.